Actaully, polls were OK, they correctly predicted HRC's popular vote win! As for considering all technical details of the US electoral system like electoral college, gerrymandering, incumbency, tight races - it simply unrealistic.
For example, official margin of error for the polls is 3-4% which looks good, but insufficent for tight races. 3% of 1 mln is 30K and the difference for a tight race can be just a few thousands.
So, it is all about political interpretation which is pretty much whatever the client wants.
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no subject
Date: 2016-12-18 04:16 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-18 04:27 pm (UTC)CHee, i am withe the middle 10%. bothered, but not so much.
no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 03:27 am (UTC)For example, official margin of error for the polls is 3-4% which looks good, but insufficent for tight races. 3% of 1 mln is 30K and the difference for a tight race can be just a few thousands.
So, it is all about political interpretation which is pretty much whatever the client wants.
no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 03:53 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 05:00 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 02:27 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 10:49 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-19 10:51 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-20 04:17 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2016-12-20 04:19 am (UTC)Chee i love you. for a reason or two.